The article discusses the potential return to parity between the euro and the US dollar. This near-parity was last seen in 2022 following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and subsequent energy crisis in Europe.
A key driver is the speculation surrounding US trade restrictions on European exports. President Trump's past threats of tariffs on EU imports create uncertainty and negatively impact the Euro.
The European Central Bank's potential response to these economic pressures – possibly cutting interest rates – further contributes to the euro's weakening against the dollar.
Since the euro came into existence in 1999, the currency has traded at equal value to the US dollar only a handful of times. The last instance was in 2022, after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine sparked an energy crisis in Europe and provoked fears of a recession, plunging the currency pair to a 1:1 ratio. Now, some market watchers see a return to parity this year as virtually inevitable. Here’s why:
The euro has been dragged lower by speculation that the US will restrict trade with the region’s export orientated economies, leading the European Central Bank to cut interest rates more aggressively. After moving to raise tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico and China in early February, US President Donald Trump said tariffs on the European Union will “definitely happen”. The US is a big buyer of the euro area’s exports, from cars to chemicals and luxury handbags, and higher tariff would weigh on the single market’s already weak economy.
Skip the extension — just come straight here.
We’ve built a fast, permanent tool you can bookmark and use anytime.
Go To Paywall Unblock Tool