Where Are Pacific Palisades Land Values Going?


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Pacific Palisades Real Estate

The article analyzes the current state of the Pacific Palisades real estate market, indicating that the decline in lot values is not close to bottoming out. While speculative buying hasn't been rampant (only one buyer owns three properties, and three buyers own two), the slowdown in new listings suggests a prolonged buyer's market. The original prediction of a summer bottoming out is now delayed.

Impact of ICE Raids

Recent ICE raids on construction sites are causing concerns about their impact on the labor market and new construction. Statements from developers like Rick Caruso highlight these concerns.

High-Profile Luxury Home Sales

  • Paris Hilton purchased Mark Wahlberg's Beverly Park estate for $63.1 million.
  • Fashion Nova founder Richard Saghian bought a $32 million Beverly Hills home.
  • A Brentwood home, boasting extensive amenities, is listed for $45 million.

Overall Market Sentiment

The article paints a picture of a dynamic luxury real estate market in Los Angeles, with significant price fluctuations and high-profile transactions, amidst economic uncertainties and labor market challenges. While the high-end market is showing some robust activity, the Pacific Palisades area still faces a slower market with decreasing property values.

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Amalfi Estates’ founder, Anthony Marguleas, loves data. As a broker focused on the Pacific Palisades, he may not have liked the story the most recent numbers have been telling on the state of the market.

On the good side, fears that speculative developers would be scooping up big discounts on property in the tony community have been put to rest so far. Marguleas’ data, culled from the Multiple Listing Service, indicates only one buyer has three Palisades properties to its name. Three buyers purchased two properties.

Now, for the not so good: the decline in lot values isn’t close to bottoming out. The trend of roughly 100 lots getting listed each month began slowing in May and appears to be doing the same this month. This means the buyer’s market is prolonged in the Palisades and the original estimate that the values would bottom out this summer is also pushed back.

ICE raids, tariffs and rates

Add the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement raids that began earlier this month among real estate’s biggest headaches this year.

Executives sounded off about the impact of the raids on construction sites and new construction as President Donald Trump added further confusion by seemingly shifting his stance on enforcement in recent weeks. Within a matter of three days Trump went from suggesting “changes are coming” to acknowledging the raids’ drain on the farming and hospitality industries. He later said detention and deportation efforts needed to be expanded in cities such as Los Angeles, Chicago and New York.

Developer Rick Caruso’s been vocal on the matter since June 6, the day ICE raided multiple businesses in downtown’s Fashion District. 

“I don’t think we should be throwing out of the country hard working, good people that we need in our community,” Caruso said to applause from a crowd at the Connect Los Angeles conference that took place in Downtown Los Angeles on Wednesday.

Paris Hilton’s big buy

Paris Hilton is loading up the moving van, after paying $63.1 million for Mark Wahlberg’s former compound in the tony Beverly Park community.

It was a quick close with the home going into contract on Monday and closing Friday. The property was listed for $68 million and was first listed in March.

That’s good news for Hilton, who lost her Malibu home in the wildfires.

The seller of 71 Beverly Park was an LLC tied to Gu Fang, wife of Chinese billionaire Xu Hang. The LLC purchased the over 30,000-square-foot compound from Wahlberg at the discounted price of $55 million in 2023. That’s about $33 million less than what Wahlberg had hoped to get for the megamansion when it was listed for $87.5 million in 2022.

Fashion Nova founder pays $32M for Beverly Hills pad

Richard Saghian’s made another local real estate play.

The founder of fast-fashion firm Fashion Nova paid $32 million for 1414 Donhill Drive in a trade that closed Wednesday. Saghian walked away with a deal, with the 13,000-square-foot home first hitting the market in May for $44 million.

Sources told The Real Deal the pad is a temporary one for Saghian as he waits out work being done to the megamansion known as The One. The executive turned heads in 2022, when he emerged as the winning bidder on the $141 million purchase of 944 Airole Way in Bel-Air. The massive estate, built by developer Nile Niami, comes in at over 100,000 square feet and has 21 beds and 49 baths.

Custom Brentwood home priced at $45M

A serial entrepreneur family that has their businesses tied up in local gas stations and commercial real estate put their dream home on the market.

When Saeed Kohanoff and his son Justin Kohanoff bought the land for 822 North Kenter Avenue 13 years ago, they intended to build a sprawling estate for the whole family, complete with plenty of space to host large events. When Justin’s two younger siblings decided to move out of state for college, he said it dawned on his father that it was too much house for just him and his wife.

So, the home’s now on the market with a $45 million asking price.

The new owner won’t have to leave home too often with the property touting a 300-foot driveway, pickleball court, gym, elevator and about 600 olive and Ficus trees decorating the grounds.  

Read more Residential Los Angeles Palisades values free fall “not even close” to hitting bottom Residential Los Angeles LA ICE raids could chill already tight labor market for homebuilding Residential Los Angeles Paris Hilton pays $63M for Mark Wahlberg’s former Beverly Park estate

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