Stocks Stall as China Calls Reports of U.S. Tariff Talks ‘Baseless’ - The New York Times


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Stock Market Reaction to China's Denial of Tariff Talks

Stock markets experienced a pause in their recent rally following China's statement that there are no ongoing trade negotiations with the United States to reduce trade tensions. This announcement countered previous optimism fueled by President Trump's comments about potentially friendlier trade discussions. The S&P 500 showed muted movement, reflecting investor uncertainty.

China's Stance on Trade Negotiations

Chinese officials firmly denied any progress in negotiations, stating that any claims to the contrary were baseless rumors. China reiterated its position that the US initiated the tariff war and emphasized its willingness to engage in talks only under specific conditions. Their stance is to either continue the trade dispute or negotiate, depending on the US approach.

Impact on Businesses and Economy

Several large corporations provided warnings about the negative impact of tariffs and economic uncertainty on their profits, adjusting their earnings forecasts accordingly. The US dollar weakened against several major currencies, while the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds fell. Oil prices showed signs of recovery. Asian and European stock markets displayed mixed performance.

  • PepsiCo and Merck cut earnings forecasts.
  • American Airlines withdrew its forecast.
  • US dollar fell against the euro, British pound, and Japanese yen.
  • Yield on 10-year Treasury bonds decreased.
  • Oil prices showed some recovery.
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Stock markets stalled on Thursday, after officials in China said they were not holding talks with the United States about easing trade tensions between the superpowers. That paused a two-day rally, as indexes continued to swing on comments and scraps of information about tariffs in the absence of concrete developments about the escalating global trade war.

The S&P 500 inched up at the start of trading, but the moves were muted. The index has seesawed this week as investors reacted to remarks by President Trump, who said this week that he was prepared to be “very nice” in trade negotiations with China. A sharp sell-off in stocks on Monday was followed by two days of sizable gains.

He Yadong, a spokesman for China’s Ministry of Commerce, said on Thursday that “there are currently no economic and trade negotiations between China and the United States, and any claims about progress in China-U.S. economic and trade negotiations are baseless rumors without factual evidence.”

A spokesman for China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Guo Jiakun, reiterated China’s stance, which is that the tariff war was started by the United States and that China would only engage in talks under certain conditions. “China’s attitude is consistent and clear: If you want to fight, we will fight to the end; if you want to talk, the door is open,” he said.

The day before, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent dismissed speculation that Mr. Trump was considering unilaterally lowering tariffs on China and emphasized that any moves to de-escalate trade tensions would need to be mutual. “I don’t think either side believes that the current tariff levels are sustainable,” he said.

In other developments on Thursday:

  • Big companies reporting their latest earnings warned that tariffs and economic uncertainty would dent profits in the months ahead. PepsiCo and Merck cut their earnings forecasts, while American Airlines withdrew its previous forecast for the rest of the year, until “the economic outlook becomes clearer.”

  • The U.S. dollar fell against several major currencies, including the euro, the British pound and the Japanese yen.

  • The yield on 10-year Treasury bonds, which move inversely to prices, fell to 4.32 percent.

  • Oil futures recovered some ground, with Brent crude up nearly 1 percent, approaching $67 a barrel.

  • Stocks in Asia and Europe were mixed: Japan’s main index was up, Hong Kong and South Korea were down, and markets in Britain, France and Germany were roughly flat.

Siyi Zhao contributed research.

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