India Seems to Be Building Its Case for Striking Pakistan - The New York Times


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Key Developments

Following a recent terrorist attack in Kashmir, India is actively engaging in diplomatic efforts. Instead of de-escalation, India appears focused on building a case for potential military action against Pakistan. Prime Minister Modi has spoken with numerous world leaders, and Indian diplomats have briefed representatives from various countries.

  • India's actions include disrupting water flow to Pakistan and expelling Pakistani staff members.
  • There have been exchanges of small-arms fire across the border between Indian and Pakistani security forces.
  • In Kashmir, Indian forces have launched a significant clampdown, involving widespread arrests.
  • Pakistan responded by suspending participation in bilateral treaties, including one concerning the line of control.

India's Strategy

India's diplomatic efforts are geared towards justifying potential military action. Modi's promise of severe punishment and the destruction of terrorist safe havens underscores this approach.

Pakistan's Response

Pakistan's suspension of participation in bilateral treaties signals an escalation of the conflict.

Overall

The situation remains highly volatile, with both countries engaging in actions that could further escalate tensions. The future course of events remains uncertain, but the situation warrants close monitoring.

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Since the horrific terrorist attack in Kashmir last week, the Indian prime minister, Narendra Modi, has spoken on the phone with more than a dozen world leaders. Diplomats from 100 missions in India’s capital have filed into the foreign ministry for briefings, officials said.

But the effort is largely not about rallying help to de-escalate India’s dangerous face-off with Pakistan, which it accuses of having “linkages” to the attack. Instead, according to four diplomatic officials aware of the discussions, New Delhi appears to be building a case for military action against its neighbor and archenemy. Without naming Pakistan, Mr. Modi in a speech on Thursday promised severe punishment and the razing of terror safe havens.

In an indication of how volatile the situation remains, the security forces of the two sides have exchanged intermittent small-arms fire across the border, Indian officials said on Sunday. One official said the exchange of fire had happened two of the past three nights, while a second official said it was three consecutive nights.

In Kashmir, Indian forces have also begun a sweeping clampdown, arresting hundreds, as they continue their hunt for the perpetrators.

Earlier, India declared its intention to disrupt the flow of water to Pakistan, whose irrigation system depends largely on upstream rivers. It also ordered the immediate departure of some staff members at Pakistan’s diplomatic mission as well as of Pakistani citizens visiting India.

Pakistan, for its part, has said it will suspend participation in bilateral treaties, including one that affects the “line of control” demarcating the frontier between the two countries in the disputed areas where a cease-fire had held for several years.

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