Gold prices reached a record high of $3,127 per ounce due to tariff-related anxieties and a resulting flight to safety. The metal's value has increased by 18.3% in 2025 alone.
The stock market experienced significant losses on Monday as investors anticipated the implementation of tariffs on April 2nd. These tariffs are feared to escalate a global trade war, negatively impacting the US economy and markets. Treasury yields have fallen to the 4% range as a consequence.
Daniela Sabin Hathorn of Capital.com highlighted gold's safe-haven status, reinforced by tighter financial conditions and a weaker US dollar. Goldman Sachs revised its year-end gold price prediction to $3,300, citing increased central bank demand.
Conversely, Morningstar analyst Jon Mills predicts a decline to $1,820 in the coming years due to various headwinds.
The impact of tariff concerns extends to other metals. Copper, which recently reached a nine-month high, is experiencing a decline, reflecting the potential slowdown in global growth caused by tariffs.
Tariff anxiety is crushing risk appetite and sending gold to fresh highs amid the flight to safety.
The yellow metal surged to $3,127 per ounce Monday morning, up $100 in less than a week. Tariff-driven economic fears have made it one of this year's hottest commodities, having gained 18.3% so far in 2025.
The metal gained momentum amid heavy losses in US stocks on Monday as traders brace for the April 2 tariff date set by Trump.
Investors worry that the sweeping duties could escalate a global trade war, battering US markets and the economy. The tariffs have been the chief culprit behind the stock market's correction this year, and explain why Treasury yields have dropped to the 4% range.
But the stock market's pain is gold's gain this year.
"While stocks falter, gold continues to shine. The metal's status as a safe haven has been reinforced by tightening financial conditions, falling bond yields, and a weaker US dollar," wrote Daniela Sabin Hathorn, senior market analyst at Capital.com. "As foreign demand for US assets drops due to lower yields, the environment becomes increasingly supportive for non-yielding assets like gold."
At $3,100 an ounce, the metal trades above the year-end forecasts made at the end of 2024.
But since President Donald Trump took office, banks such as Goldman Sachs have reassessed expectations. As of last week, the bank now sees $3,300 as the likely outcome, as tariff fears have reshaped gold flows and a pick up in central bank demand.
"While ETF flows generally track Fed policy rates, history shows they can overshoot during extended periods of macro uncertainty -- such as during the Covid-19 pandemic," the bank wrote Wednesday.
While technical indicators suggest gold is currently overbought, broader bullish momentum should overcome any short-term consolidation, Hathorn said. The next level of resistance for the metal will be at $3,200.
Related storiesBut some are not so sure the metal can keep outperforming. Morningstar analyst Jon Mills told Business Insider that a number of headwinds will drag gold to $1,820 in the coming years.
For now, tariff jitters are also moving other metals. Copper, which reached a nine-month high recently, is in retreat ahead of the April levies. According to ING, industrial metals suffer if tariffs slow global growth.
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