Exam Professional Machine Learning Engineer topic 1 question 141 discussion - ExamTopics


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Problem Description

A machine learning model is used to predict whether magazine subscribers will cancel their annual subscription. The data shows a significant class imbalance: 90% renewal, 10% cancellation.

Model Performance

The model achieves 99% accuracy in predicting cancellations and 82% accuracy in predicting renewals.

Analysis of Results

The question assesses the interpretation of these results. Option A incorrectly suggests that renewal accuracy should be higher than cancellation accuracy. Option B incorrectly compares the model's performance to a naive baseline of always predicting renewal. Option D incorrectly focuses solely on the overall accuracy being above 80%. Option C is correct, highlighting the difficulty in accurately predicting the minority class (cancellations) due to the limited data available for that group.

Correct Answer

The correct answer is C.

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You work for a magazine publisher and have been tasked with predicting whether customers will cancel their annual subscription. In your exploratory data analysis, you find that 90% of individuals renew their subscription every year, and only 10% of individuals cancel their subscription. After training a NN Classifier, your model predicts those who cancel their subscription with 99% accuracy and predicts those who renew their subscription with 82% accuracy. How should you interpret these results?

  • A. This is not a good result because the model should have a higher accuracy for those who renew their subscription than for those who cancel their subscription.
  • B. This is not a good result because the model is performing worse than predicting that people will always renew their subscription.
  • C. This is a good result because predicting those who cancel their subscription is more difficult, since there is less data for this group.
  • D. This is a good result because the accuracy across both groups is greater than 80%.
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Suggested Answer: C πŸ—³οΈ

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