李显龙:世界已进入新阶段 国人须随机应变(下) | 联合早报


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Key Challenges Facing Singapore

Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong highlights the challenges facing Singapore in a new global environment. He emphasizes the importance of a capable government, acknowledging the role of the opposition while stressing the need for effective leadership.

Economic Uncertainty

The global economic outlook is uncertain, with growth predictions lowered due to trade wars and unpredictable policies. Lee cautions about the possibility of recession, noting that recovery this time will be different, as the world itself may not be operating normally.

Geopolitical Tensions

The escalating US-China trade war and resulting geopolitical instability pose significant challenges. Singapore must navigate these tensions carefully, maintaining good relations with both superpowers while charting its own course.

Navigating the Unfavorable Landscape

Lee stresses the need for Singapore to adapt and be resilient in the face of these economic and geopolitical headwinds, emphasizing the need for careful management and strategic maneuvering to secure the nation's future.

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反对党在我们的民主制度中有它的角色。反对党议员永远不会从国会中消失。这是民主运作的方式。但新加坡也需要由优秀和有能力的执政党领导的有效政府体系,这取决于选举产生对新加坡有利的结果。那就是选后国家能产生一支有能力、有担当、诚实、能够运营一个高效政府的领导团队。

关税战会直接影响我们的经济增长。今年,我们希望实现1%到3%的增长,但鉴于全球的不确定性,贸工部已将预测下调至0%到2%。今年会有经济衰退吗?可能,因为这不是看消费者是否在订购,需求是否良好,产品是否在改善,大家是否在繁荣发展。你不知道会有什么新政策出台。其他国家会怎么做?美国会如何报复?因此不确定性非常高,这在短期内是一个问题,在中长期也是一个问题。我们必须预期今年增长放缓,可能出现经济衰退,不一定是今年,但极可能在某个时候出现。在中期内,五年到10年,这会是一个不太友善的世界。

这次与之前的危机不同之处在于:以前复苏时,可以进入一个正常运作的世界,我们重新融入,再次投入工作。这次,我们还过得去,但世界就不太好,我们必须尽力在这个不太友善的世界中照顾好自己。

这仅仅是经济方面。在地缘政治方面,我们知道贸易战将加剧,因而必须预期美中关系会更加紧张,区域会变得不太平静、稳定。这将带来更多压力和挑战,我们必须更加努力与两国都保持友好关系,同时也要寻找自己的发展道路,在两强之间小心前行,避免卷入纷争。

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